Support The Moscow Times!

Russian Ruble Weighed Down by Dropping Oil Price and Fitch Downgrade

A man walks out of a bank office, with an electronic board showing currency exchange rates seen above, in central Moscow.

The ruble fell sharply on Monday, dragged lower by a slide in oil prices and fears that ratings agency Standard & Poor's will downgrade Russia to junk in coming days.

The currency has been hit by plummeting prices of oil, Russia's main export, and Western sanctions imposed last year over the Kremlin's role in the Ukraine crisis.

Russian authorities spent $76 billion and 5.4 billion euros defending the currency in interventions in 2014, Central Bank data showed on Monday.

At 8 p.m. in Moscow, the ruble was down 2.4 percent against the dollar at 63 rubles and 3 percent weaker against the euro at 74.5.

The Russian currency tracked international oil benchmark Brent, which was down more 5 percent on Monday at $47.5 a barrel, falling below $48 for the first time since April 2009.

On Friday, Fitch downgraded Russia's foreign currency bonds to BBB-, one notch above investment grade, citing a significant deterioration in the country's economic outlook.

S&P said last month that it expected to complete a review of Russia, which it already rates at just one notch above junk with a negative outlook, by mid-January.

"We believe there is a high possibility that S&P will downgrade Russia's rating — if not now, then later this year as the country's macroeconomic indicators worsen," analysts at Rosbank said.

Russian bonds are already trading at "junk" levels. The yield on the 2030 eurobond was 7.2 percent on Monday, up around 25 basis points since Friday but below peaks of 8.3 percent in mid-December and 7.9 percent on Jan. 6.

Russian stock indexes were mixed, reflecting a recent pattern whereby a weaker ruble boosts the ruble-based MICEX index but weighs on the dollar-based RTS.

At the end of trading, the MICEX was down 0.1 percent at 1,513 points and the RTS down 3.3 percent at 756.6 points.

gateway.aspx.jpg
Reuters


Sign up for our free weekly newsletter

Our weekly newsletter contains a hand-picked selection of news, features, analysis and more from The Moscow Times. You will receive it in your mailbox every Friday. Never miss the latest news from Russia. Preview
Subscribers agree to the Privacy Policy

A Message from The Moscow Times:

Dear readers,

We are facing unprecedented challenges. Russia's Prosecutor General's Office has designated The Moscow Times as an "undesirable" organization, criminalizing our work and putting our staff at risk of prosecution. This follows our earlier unjust labeling as a "foreign agent."

These actions are direct attempts to silence independent journalism in Russia. The authorities claim our work "discredits the decisions of the Russian leadership." We see things differently: we strive to provide accurate, unbiased reporting on Russia.

We, the journalists of The Moscow Times, refuse to be silenced. But to continue our work, we need your help.

Your support, no matter how small, makes a world of difference. If you can, please support us monthly starting from just $2. It's quick to set up, and every contribution makes a significant impact.

By supporting The Moscow Times, you're defending open, independent journalism in the face of repression. Thank you for standing with us.

Once
Monthly
Annual
Continue
paiment methods
Not ready to support today?
Remind me later.

Read more